Predictors of family size among currently married men in rural northwestern Nigeria
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High fertility remains a major public health and development concern in rural Northern Nigeria, where large family norms persist despite ongoing fertility transitions in other regions. Understanding the socio-demographic and behavioral factors influencing family size among men is essential for designing effective fertility regulation interventions. This study aimed to determine the prevalence and predictors of large family size among married men in rural northwestern Nigeria.
A community-based cross-sectional study was conducted among 277 married men in rural northwestern Nigeria using a multistage sampling technique. Data were collected using a structured questionnaire covering socio-demographic characteristics, fertility history, reproductive preferences, and spousal communication. Family size was dichotomized as small (≤4 children) and large (≥5 children). Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics, chi-square tests for bivariate associations, and multivariable binary logistic regression to identify independent predictors of large family size. Statistical significance was set at p<0.05.
The average age of respondents was 47.8±13.3 years, and the average number of children ever fathered was 7.8±5.9. Nearly two-thirds (65.3%) of respondents had large families. On a multivariable level, men under 45 years old were significantly less likely to have large families compared with those aged 45 and above (Adjusted Odds Ratio, AOR=0.11; 95% Confidence Interval, CI: 0.06-0.22). Men who married between 20 and 29 years of age had higher odds of having a large family than those who married at age 30 or later (AOR=2.26; 95% CI: 1.06-4.80). Notably, men who discussed the desired number of children with their wives were significantly less likely to have large families (AOR=0.28; 95% CI: 0.12-0.66). Educational level, household wealth, and discussions about contraception were not independently linked to family size.
Large family size remains prevalent among married men in rural northwestern Nigeria. Age, timing of marriage, and spousal communication regarding desired family size are key determinants of fertility outcomes. Interventions aimed at fertility reduction in similar settings should prioritize male involvement, promote spousal communication, and address deeply rooted pronatalist norms, rather than focusing solely on contraceptive provision.
Senior Lecturer, Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology
Associate professor, department of community medicine
Senior Lecturer, Department of Community Medicine, Bayero University & Aminu Kano Teaching Hospital, Kano
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